That 52-point lead over Rubio represents a large improve since July — the final time Fabrizio polled a matchup between the three and located DeSantis forward by simply 11 factors over Rubio.
“In order to run for president, you need to have your home state, you need your home base. And DeSantis clearly has that,” mentioned Fabrizio, who polled for President Trump’s two elections and has additionally labored for DeSantis and Scott in the previous. Fabrizio’s survey of 304 Republicans had a margin of error of +/-5.6 p.c.
It’s not simply Fabrizio’s polls which have picked up a rise of Republican enthusiasm for DeSantis in Florida. A survey by Republican pollster Ryan Tyson lately discovered that DeSantis had higher favorable rankings than Trump in the Florida GOP, a exceptional feat contemplating Trump gained Florida by a much bigger margin in 2020 than Barack Obama did in 2008.
Obama was the final top-of-the-ticket Democrat to win Florida. The state has solely has one statewide elected Democrat now, Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried, who’s positioning herself to run for governor towards DeSantis subsequent year.
Fabrizio’s survey additionally examined another key metric for Florida GOP voters: of the three statewide Republicans, who do you consider is the largest Trump supporter? With 67 p.c saying DeSantis, it’s not even shut. Only 9 p.c mentioned Scott, and seven p.c mentioned Rubio.
Scott’s comparatively small numbers stand out for a senator who voted towards certifying the Electoral College vote in Washington even after a violent pro-Trump mob invaded the U.S. Capitol. Rubio voted to certify the outcomes.
“Given the attention in the state to Scott’s and Rubio’s positions and votes on the outcome of the election, it’s kind of startling to see DeSantis, by an even wider margin, is perceived as Trump’s biggest supporter of the three,” Fabrizio mentioned.
Rubio, who ran unsuccessfully towards Trump and lost Florida to him in the 2016 GOP major, hasn’t dominated out a future presidential marketing campaign. But for now, his advisers say he’s targeted on being senator and operating for reelection in 2022. DeSantis, who doesn’t have a crew of advisers, is operating for reelection on the similar time and lately ducked a question on Fox News about his curiosity in a White House bid.
Scott, too, harbors presidential ambitions and is up for reelection in 2024. He was lately tapped to guide the National Republican Senatorial Committee to assist the GOP win again management of the higher chamber of Congress.
Scott and DeSantis will each handle the Conservative Political Action Conference this weekend in Orlando, the place Trump will give his first public speech since leaving the White House. Rubio isn’t scheduled to talk, citing a previous dedication.
Though Rubio is considered as a hard-to-beat normal election candidate in the state, far-right conservatives have held Rubio in suspicion since his effort to form a bipartisan immigration reform plan in 2013 and so they denounced him for voting to approve the Electoral College outcomes Jan. 6. Some hoped that Trump’s daughter, Ivanka Trump, would problem Rubio however she has reportedly declined.
Fabrizio indicated that Rubio’s loss to Trump in 2016 nonetheless reverberates immediately.
“Imagine if Ted Cruz had not won Texas in 2016 and what it meant for Marco Rubio to lose Florida in 2016,” Fabrizio mentioned. “In terms of running for president in a primary, if you don’t have your home state, what do you have?”